North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1 31%
2 22%
少於1次 18%
3 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
少於1次
18%
1
31%
2
22%
3
16%
4次以上
13%
1 31%
2 22%
少於1次 18%
3 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
少於1次
$321 交易量
18%
1
$91 交易量
31%
2
$112 交易量
22%
3
$91 交易量
16%
4次以上
$422 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
交易量
$1,037結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$1,037結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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