North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於少於 4 56%
4 25.7%
5 11%
6+ 5.2%
$20,650 交易量
$20,650 交易量
2026-08-31
少於 4
56%
4
26%
5
11%
6+
5%
少於 4 56%
4 25.7%
5 11%
6+ 5.2%
$20,650 交易量
$20,650 交易量
2026-08-31
少於 4
$2,265 交易量
56%
4
$632 交易量
26%
5
$247 交易量
11%
6+
$17,506 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$20,650結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$20,650結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions