**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日深圳最低溫度？
8月30日深圳最低溫度？
24°C 45%
23°C or below 5%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
$2,361 交易量
$2,361 交易量
2026-08-30
23°C or below
5%
24°C
45%
25°C
63%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C or below 5%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
$2,361 交易量
$2,361 交易量
2026-08-30
23°C or below
$33 交易量
5%
24°C
$29 交易量
45%
25°C
$48 交易量
63%
26°C
$791 交易量
1%
27°C
$340 交易量
<1%
28°C
$661 交易量
<1%
29°C
$50 交易量
1%
30°C
$30 交易量
<1%
31°C
$30 交易量
<1%
32°C
$320 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,361結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,361結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions