**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日深圳最高溫度？
8月31日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 39%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
最新
$10,923 交易量
最新
$10,923 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
31%
31°C
39%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
最新
$10,923 交易量
最新
$10,923 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
$568 交易量
<1%
25°C
$516 交易量
<1%
26°C
$516 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,185 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,536 交易量
5%
29°C
$1,494 交易量
17%
30°C
$978 交易量
31%
31°C
$1,610 交易量
39%
32°C
$436 交易量
11%
33°C
$782 交易量
4%
34°C or higher
$303 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,923結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,923結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions