Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. High dew points near 25–26°C limit radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Historical late-August minima average around 26°C, but current conditions favor slightly lower readings if heavier overnight rain enhances evaporative cooling. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–26°C because ensemble guidance shows modest divergence on exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of final model runs and local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日深圳最低溫度？
8月31日深圳最低溫度？
22°C or below 81%
28°C 48%
27°C 48%
23°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
81%
23°C
47%
24°C
38%
25°C
39%
26°C
43%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
20%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 81%
28°C 48%
27°C 48%
23°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$140 交易量
81%
23°C
$0 交易量
47%
24°C
$0 交易量
38%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
43%
27°C
$0 交易量
48%
28°C
$0 交易量
48%
29°C
$10 交易量
20%
30°C
$75 交易量
<1%
31°C
$67 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. High dew points near 25–26°C limit radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Historical late-August minima average around 26°C, but current conditions favor slightly lower readings if heavier overnight rain enhances evaporative cooling. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–26°C because ensemble guidance shows modest divergence on exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of final model runs and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$422結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. High dew points near 25–26°C limit radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Historical late-August minima average around 26°C, but current conditions favor slightly lower readings if heavier overnight rain enhances evaporative cooling. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–26°C because ensemble guidance shows modest divergence on exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of final model runs and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$422結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range amid persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. High dew points near 25–26°C limit radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Historical late-August minima average around 26°C, but current conditions favor slightly lower readings if heavier overnight rain enhances evaporative cooling. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–26°C because ensemble guidance shows modest divergence on exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of final model runs and local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions