Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 27°C under persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80-90%, and partial cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm, moist air typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns, where historical averages hover around 25-26°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C (58.5%) over 28°C (30.5%) or 26°C (7.5%) reflects the latest guidance showing minimal cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings before midnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日上海最低溫度？
8月31日上海最低溫度？
27°C 72%
28°C 31%
26°C 8%
31°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
57%
28°C
32%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 72%
28°C 31%
26°C 8%
31°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$58 交易量
<1%
23°C
$262 交易量
<1%
24°C
$117 交易量
<1%
25°C
$111 交易量
<1%
26°C
$591 交易量
8%
27°C
$2,544 交易量
57%
28°C
$1,917 交易量
32%
29°C
$243 交易量
<1%
30°C
$129 交易量
<1%
31°C
$512 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$58 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 27°C under persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80-90%, and partial cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm, moist air typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns, where historical averages hover around 25-26°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C (58.5%) over 28°C (30.5%) or 26°C (7.5%) reflects the latest guidance showing minimal cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings before midnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,541結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 27°C under persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80-90%, and partial cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm, moist air typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns, where historical averages hover around 25-26°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C (58.5%) over 28°C (30.5%) or 26°C (7.5%) reflects the latest guidance showing minimal cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings before midnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,541結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 27°C under persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80-90%, and partial cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm, moist air typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns, where historical averages hover around 25-26°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C (58.5%) over 28°C (30.5%) or 26°C (7.5%) reflects the latest guidance showing minimal cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings before midnight will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions