Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日上海最高溫度？
8月31日上海最高溫度？
32°C 65%
33°C 20%
31°C 17%
30°C 2%
最新
$16,347 交易量
最新
$16,347 交易量
2026-08-31
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
17%
32°C
65%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 65%
33°C 20%
31°C 17%
30°C 2%
最新
$16,347 交易量
最新
$16,347 交易量
2026-08-31
26°C or below
$287 交易量
<1%
27°C
$179 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,520 交易量
<1%
29°C
$820 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,149 交易量
2%
31°C
$5,147 交易量
17%
32°C
$2,712 交易量
65%
33°C
$3,132 交易量
20%
34°C
$907 交易量
2%
35°C
$273 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$222 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,347結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,347結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions