Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating and supports overnight cooling. Late-August warmth (highs near 32–33°C) is giving way to this transitional pattern ahead of a stronger rain event on September 2, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the low reflects close alignment with these near-term model runs, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 27°C account for minor uncertainties in exact timing of rain and wind shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日上海最低溫度？
9月1日上海最低溫度？
26°C 50%
27°C 26%
25°C 20%
23°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
20%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 26%
25°C 20%
23°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
21°C or below
$21 交易量
<1%
22°C
$21 交易量
1%
23°C
$40 交易量
12%
24°C
$103 交易量
7%
25°C
$88 交易量
20%
26°C
$247 交易量
50%
27°C
$336 交易量
26%
28°C
$60 交易量
4%
29°C
$21 交易量
1%
30°C
$21 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$1 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating and supports overnight cooling. Late-August warmth (highs near 32–33°C) is giving way to this transitional pattern ahead of a stronger rain event on September 2, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the low reflects close alignment with these near-term model runs, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 27°C account for minor uncertainties in exact timing of rain and wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$959結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating and supports overnight cooling. Late-August warmth (highs near 32–33°C) is giving way to this transitional pattern ahead of a stronger rain event on September 2, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the low reflects close alignment with these near-term model runs, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 27°C account for minor uncertainties in exact timing of rain and wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$959結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating and supports overnight cooling. Late-August warmth (highs near 32–33°C) is giving way to this transitional pattern ahead of a stronger rain event on September 2, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the low reflects close alignment with these near-term model runs, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 27°C account for minor uncertainties in exact timing of rain and wind shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions