Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF places Moscow's September 21 minimum near 12–14 °C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can alter the overnight low by 2–4 °C, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C and mid-teens outcomes closely matched. Historical September minima average 8–10 °C, but the current mild advection supports the market's balanced pricing around the 10–14 °C thresholds. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs on September 20 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月21日莫斯科最低溫度？
8°C或以下 100%
18°C或更高 100%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
100%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
30%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C或更高
100%
8°C或以下 100%
18°C或更高 100%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
9°C
$0 交易量
40%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF places Moscow's September 21 minimum near 12–14 °C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can alter the overnight low by 2–4 °C, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C and mid-teens outcomes closely matched. Historical September minima average 8–10 °C, but the current mild advection supports the market's balanced pricing around the 10–14 °C thresholds. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs on September 20 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF places Moscow's September 21 minimum near 12–14 °C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can alter the overnight low by 2–4 °C, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C and mid-teens outcomes closely matched. Historical September minima average 8–10 °C, but the current mild advection supports the market's balanced pricing around the 10–14 °C thresholds. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs on September 20 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF places Moscow's September 21 minimum near 12–14 °C under southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can alter the overnight low by 2–4 °C, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C and mid-teens outcomes closely matched. Historical September minima average 8–10 °C, but the current mild advection supports the market's balanced pricing around the 10–14 °C thresholds. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs on September 20 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions