Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs, corroborated by KNMI guidance, show Amsterdam under mild westerly flow with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near the 18.5°C climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 19°C (25%) and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this guidance, with small spreads arising from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Limited warm advection and light winds favor modest diurnal warming rather than extremes, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model cycles on September 20 will provide the next key data points for refining peak-temperature expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 35%
20°C 21%
18°C 13%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
13%
19°C
35%
20°C
21%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C或以上
2%
19°C 35%
20°C 21%
18°C 13%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
4%
16°C
$0 交易量
7%
17°C
$13 交易量
7%
18°C
$45 交易量
13%
19°C
$4 交易量
35%
20°C
$0 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs, corroborated by KNMI guidance, show Amsterdam under mild westerly flow with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near the 18.5°C climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 19°C (25%) and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this guidance, with small spreads arising from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Limited warm advection and light winds favor modest diurnal warming rather than extremes, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model cycles on September 20 will provide the next key data points for refining peak-temperature expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$62結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs, corroborated by KNMI guidance, show Amsterdam under mild westerly flow with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near the 18.5°C climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 19°C (25%) and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this guidance, with small spreads arising from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Limited warm advection and light winds favor modest diurnal warming rather than extremes, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model cycles on September 20 will provide the next key data points for refining peak-temperature expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ECMWF and GFS model runs, corroborated by KNMI guidance, show Amsterdam under mild westerly flow with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near the 18.5°C climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 19°C (25%) and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this guidance, with small spreads arising from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Limited warm advection and light winds favor modest diurnal warming rather than extremes, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model cycles on September 20 will provide the next key data points for refining peak-temperature expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions