Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月21日奧斯汀最低溫度？
70-71°F 39%
76-77°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
67°F或以下
9%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
華氏86度或以上
5%
70-71°F 39%
76-77°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
67°F或以下
$0 交易量
9%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
19%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
24%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
19%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
11%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
7%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
5%
華氏86度或以上
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions