Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model runs indicate a post-frontal northerly flow will establish over the Northeast after Sunday's rain, supporting overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for New York City on September 21. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northeast winds near 10-15 mph should limit radiative cooling, while any timing shifts in the frontal passage or dewpoint advection could raise or lower the minimum by 2-3°F. Trader emphasis on 62-63°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range and historical September variability, with lower-probability colder outcomes tied to clearer skies or stronger high pressure. Updated guidance from the National Hurricane Center's regional models and next-day observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月21日的最低溫度？
紐約市9月21日的最低溫度？
64-65°F 40%
62-63°F 31%
66-67°F 19%
60-61°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
53°F或以下
5%
54-55°F
5%
56-57華氏度
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
40%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
2%
72°F或以上
2%
64-65°F 40%
62-63°F 31%
66-67°F 19%
60-61°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
53°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
5%
56-57華氏度
$0 交易量
7%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
11%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
12%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
31%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
40%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
19%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
2%
72°F或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model runs indicate a post-frontal northerly flow will establish over the Northeast after Sunday's rain, supporting overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for New York City on September 21. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northeast winds near 10-15 mph should limit radiative cooling, while any timing shifts in the frontal passage or dewpoint advection could raise or lower the minimum by 2-3°F. Trader emphasis on 62-63°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range and historical September variability, with lower-probability colder outcomes tied to clearer skies or stronger high pressure. Updated guidance from the National Hurricane Center's regional models and next-day observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model runs indicate a post-frontal northerly flow will establish over the Northeast after Sunday's rain, supporting overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for New York City on September 21. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northeast winds near 10-15 mph should limit radiative cooling, while any timing shifts in the frontal passage or dewpoint advection could raise or lower the minimum by 2-3°F. Trader emphasis on 62-63°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range and historical September variability, with lower-probability colder outcomes tied to clearer skies or stronger high pressure. Updated guidance from the National Hurricane Center's regional models and next-day observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model runs indicate a post-frontal northerly flow will establish over the Northeast after Sunday's rain, supporting overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for New York City on September 21. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northeast winds near 10-15 mph should limit radiative cooling, while any timing shifts in the frontal passage or dewpoint advection could raise or lower the minimum by 2-3°F. Trader emphasis on 62-63°F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range and historical September variability, with lower-probability colder outcomes tied to clearer skies or stronger high pressure. Updated guidance from the National Hurricane Center's regional models and next-day observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions