Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 21 in the 14–17°C range, producing the market’s near-even split between outcomes above 20°C and at or below 10°C. A northwesterly flow behind an Atlantic low is expected to limit daytime warming while scattered showers and variable cloud cover add uncertainty to the exact peak, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 15°C average highs. Updated ECMWF and Finnish Meteorological Institute model runs on September 20 will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基9月21日的最高溫度?
16°C 55%
15°C 21%
17°C 21%
18°C 11%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
6%
14°C
10%
15°C
21%
16°C
55%
17°C
21%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C或更高
4%
16°C 55%
15°C 21%
17°C 21%
18°C 11%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
6%
14°C
10%
15°C
21%
16°C
55%
17°C
21%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 21 in the 14–17°C range, producing the market’s near-even split between outcomes above 20°C and at or below 10°C. A northwesterly flow behind an Atlantic low is expected to limit daytime warming while scattered showers and variable cloud cover add uncertainty to the exact peak, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 15°C average highs. Updated ECMWF and Finnish Meteorological Institute model runs on September 20 will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions