Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日成都最高溫度？
9月21日成都最高溫度？
25°C 33%
28°C 28%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
13%
25°C
33%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
28%
29°C
20%
30°C
16%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
2%
25°C 33%
28°C 28%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
13%
25°C
$0 交易量
33%
26°C
$0 交易量
19%
27°C
$0 交易量
19%
28°C
$0 交易量
28%
29°C
$0 交易量
20%
30°C
$0 交易量
16%
31°C
$0 交易量
18%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions