Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate a high near 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms and moderate rain, according to multiple meteorological sources. Convective activity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern is expected to limit surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum within a narrow range. Model consensus from international and regional guidance shows limited spread, with slight variations in timing of showers or localized intensity creating the close market split between 31°C and 32°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, while any earlier or heavier rainfall could favor the lower outcomes still priced in the market. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日深圳最高溫度?
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
34°C 20%
35°C或以上 19%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
30%
33°C
17%
34°C
20%
35°C或以上
19%
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
34°C 20%
35°C或以上 19%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
30%
33°C
17%
34°C
20%
35°C或以上
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate a high near 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms and moderate rain, according to multiple meteorological sources. Convective activity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern is expected to limit surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum within a narrow range. Model consensus from international and regional guidance shows limited spread, with slight variations in timing of showers or localized intensity creating the close market split between 31°C and 32°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, while any earlier or heavier rainfall could favor the lower outcomes still priced in the market. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions