Current forecasts for Moscow on September 21 point to a daytime high near 18–19°C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover with showers, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–20°C. Model consensus shows mild advection from warmer southern air masses tempered by a passing front and reduced insolation from overcast skies, while historical late-September averages near 15°C provide context for the elevated outlook. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, rainfall intensity affecting surface heating, and spread in ensemble guidance from sources like GFS. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
20°C 39%
19°C 23%
17°C 22%
16°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
25%
20°C
39%
21°C
19%
22°C
12%
23°C或以上
4%
20°C 39%
19°C 23%
17°C 22%
16°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$8 交易量
5%
16°C
$0 交易量
22%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$4 交易量
25%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
19%
22°C
$0 交易量
12%
23°C或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Moscow on September 21 point to a daytime high near 18–19°C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover with showers, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–20°C. Model consensus shows mild advection from warmer southern air masses tempered by a passing front and reduced insolation from overcast skies, while historical late-September averages near 15°C provide context for the elevated outlook. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, rainfall intensity affecting surface heating, and spread in ensemble guidance from sources like GFS. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$12結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Moscow on September 21 point to a daytime high near 18–19°C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover with showers, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–20°C. Model consensus shows mild advection from warmer southern air masses tempered by a passing front and reduced insolation from overcast skies, while historical late-September averages near 15°C provide context for the elevated outlook. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, rainfall intensity affecting surface heating, and spread in ensemble guidance from sources like GFS. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Moscow on September 21 point to a daytime high near 18–19°C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover with showers, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–20°C. Model consensus shows mild advection from warmer southern air masses tempered by a passing front and reduced insolation from overcast skies, while historical late-September averages near 15°C provide context for the elevated outlook. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, rainfall intensity affecting surface heating, and spread in ensemble guidance from sources like GFS. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions