Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 1, driving the market's heaviest volume toward the 80-81°F bin. Typical August climatology features average lows near 78°F, sustained by high dew points, weak steering flow, and minimal diurnal cooling under humid tropical air masses; recent guidance shows no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings below 78°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely dipping under 74°F or exceeding 82°F in early August—against subtle forecast spreads in the 0-3°F window, with resolution tied to official Miami International Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月1日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或以上
<1%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
67°F或以下
$87 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$233 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$57 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$157 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$162 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$85 交易量
14%
78-79°F
$381 交易量
20%
80-81°F
$264 交易量
42%
82-83°F
$214 交易量
24%
84-85°F
$183 交易量
1%
86°F或以上
$182 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 1, driving the market's heaviest volume toward the 80-81°F bin. Typical August climatology features average lows near 78°F, sustained by high dew points, weak steering flow, and minimal diurnal cooling under humid tropical air masses; recent guidance shows no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings below 78°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely dipping under 74°F or exceeding 82°F in early August—against subtle forecast spreads in the 0-3°F window, with resolution tied to official Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,005結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 1, driving the market's heaviest volume toward the 80-81°F bin. Typical August climatology features average lows near 78°F, sustained by high dew points, weak steering flow, and minimal diurnal cooling under humid tropical air masses; recent guidance shows no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings below 78°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely dipping under 74°F or exceeding 82°F in early August—against subtle forecast spreads in the 0-3°F window, with resolution tied to official Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,005結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 1, driving the market's heaviest volume toward the 80-81°F bin. Typical August climatology features average lows near 78°F, sustained by high dew points, weak steering flow, and minimal diurnal cooling under humid tropical air masses; recent guidance shows no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would push readings below 78°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely dipping under 74°F or exceeding 82°F in early August—against subtle forecast spreads in the 0-3°F window, with resolution tied to official Miami International Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions