Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for London on August 1, driven by residual warmth from a recent high-pressure system and daytime highs projected near 25–31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and light winds, keeping the daily low above the 14°C August climatological average. Trader consensus at 86% combined probability for 16–17°C reflects alignment across ensemble guidance, with minimal downside risk from colder air advection in the current setup. Final Met Office observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月1日倫敦的最低溫度？
16°C 61%
17°C 43%
15°C 6%
18°C 3.4%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
61%
17°C
43%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 43%
15°C 6%
18°C 3.4%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
13°C或以下
$1,161 交易量
<1%
14°C
$447 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,099 交易量
6%
16°C
$2,527 交易量
61%
17°C
$1,161 交易量
43%
18°C
$842 交易量
3%
19°C
$296 交易量
<1%
20°C
$291 交易量
<1%
21°C
$291 交易量
<1%
22°C
$291 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$184 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for London on August 1, driven by residual warmth from a recent high-pressure system and daytime highs projected near 25–31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and light winds, keeping the daily low above the 14°C August climatological average. Trader consensus at 86% combined probability for 16–17°C reflects alignment across ensemble guidance, with minimal downside risk from colder air advection in the current setup. Final Met Office observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8,592結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for London on August 1, driven by residual warmth from a recent high-pressure system and daytime highs projected near 25–31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and light winds, keeping the daily low above the 14°C August climatological average. Trader consensus at 86% combined probability for 16–17°C reflects alignment across ensemble guidance, with minimal downside risk from colder air advection in the current setup. Final Met Office observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,592結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for London on August 1, driven by residual warmth from a recent high-pressure system and daytime highs projected near 25–31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and light winds, keeping the daily low above the 14°C August climatological average. Trader consensus at 86% combined probability for 16–17°C reflects alignment across ensemble guidance, with minimal downside risk from colder air advection in the current setup. Final Met Office observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions