Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月2日倫敦的最低溫度？
15°C 46%
16°C 42%
17°C 15%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
45%
16°C
42%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 42%
17°C 15%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
11°C或以下
$194 交易量
<1%
12°C
$228 交易量
<1%
13°C
$241 交易量
1%
14°C
$216 交易量
5%
15°C
$213 交易量
45%
16°C
$2,610 交易量
42%
17°C
$1,138 交易量
15%
18°C
$69 交易量
3%
19°C
$36 交易量
1%
20°C
$497 交易量
<1%
21°C或以上
$287 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,728結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,728結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions