Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日重慶最低氣溫？
9月1日重慶最低氣溫？
18°C or below 80%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C or below
80%
19°C
22%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 80%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C or below
$64 交易量
80%
19°C
$12 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$140 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$216結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$216結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions