Recent heavy rainfall across central and western Chongqing through August 29 has lowered surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, setting up moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on August 31. Official guidance and ensemble models point to a minimum near 24–25 °C in the urban core, with light northerly winds limiting mixing and dew points around 20–23 °C constraining further drops. Trader consensus clustering on 22–24 °C reflects model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity, plus historical late-August variability where post-rain clear nights can reach 1–2 °C below guidance. New observational data and the next model runs will narrow resolution around the 19–25 °C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日重慶最低氣溫?
19°C 40%
23°C 36%
24°C 28%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
40%
20°C
20%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
28%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
19°C 40%
23°C 36%
24°C 28%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
40%
20°C
20%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
28%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heavy rainfall across central and western Chongqing through August 29 has lowered surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, setting up moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on August 31. Official guidance and ensemble models point to a minimum near 24–25 °C in the urban core, with light northerly winds limiting mixing and dew points around 20–23 °C constraining further drops. Trader consensus clustering on 22–24 °C reflects model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity, plus historical late-August variability where post-rain clear nights can reach 1–2 °C below guidance. New observational data and the next model runs will narrow resolution around the 19–25 °C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions