Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C under the enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat), which is driving scattered showers, high humidity near 80 %, and persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph. These conditions limit intense solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping values close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 29–31 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing: lighter or delayed convection would allow brief afternoon peaks toward 33 °C, while steadier monsoon showers would cap readings at 30–31 °C. Official updates from PAGASA and short-range model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow distinctions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
19%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
19%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C under the enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat), which is driving scattered showers, high humidity near 80 %, and persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph. These conditions limit intense solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping values close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 29–31 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing: lighter or delayed convection would allow brief afternoon peaks toward 33 °C, while steadier monsoon showers would cap readings at 30–31 °C. Official updates from PAGASA and short-range model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow distinctions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions