Official observations from Miami International Airport’s ASOS station recorded a daily maximum of 85 °F on August 29, 2026, matching the 84–85 °F bin that now carries full market-implied probability. This value fell well below the long-term August average high near 91 °F, consistent with 0.62 inches of measured precipitation and associated cloud cover that limited daytime heating and suppressed the typical late-summer thermal peak. National Weather Service data confirm no higher reading at the primary climate station, supporting the near-certain resolution. Only an unprecedented post-hoc adjustment to the official record or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月29日邁阿密的最高溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$104,575 交易量
$104,575 交易量
2026-08-29
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96°F或更高
否
84-85°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$104,575 交易量
$104,575 交易量
2026-08-29
77°F or below
$160 交易量
No
78-79°F
$160 交易量
No
80-81°F
$170 交易量
No
82-83°F
$1,672 交易量
No
84-85°F
$45,057 交易量
Yes
86-87°F
$11,207 交易量
No
88-89°F
$13,078 交易量
No
90-91°F
$10,974 交易量
否
92-93°F
$16,909 交易量
否
94-95°F
$4,026 交易量
否
96°F或更高
$1,162 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport’s ASOS station recorded a daily maximum of 85 °F on August 29, 2026, matching the 84–85 °F bin that now carries full market-implied probability. This value fell well below the long-term August average high near 91 °F, consistent with 0.62 inches of measured precipitation and associated cloud cover that limited daytime heating and suppressed the typical late-summer thermal peak. National Weather Service data confirm no higher reading at the primary climate station, supporting the near-certain resolution. Only an unprecedented post-hoc adjustment to the official record or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$104,575結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport’s ASOS station recorded a daily maximum of 85 °F on August 29, 2026, matching the 84–85 °F bin that now carries full market-implied probability. This value fell well below the long-term August average high near 91 °F, consistent with 0.62 inches of measured precipitation and associated cloud cover that limited daytime heating and suppressed the typical late-summer thermal peak. National Weather Service data confirm no higher reading at the primary climate station, supporting the near-certain resolution. Only an unprecedented post-hoc adjustment to the official record or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$104,575結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Miami International Airport’s ASOS station recorded a daily maximum of 85 °F on August 29, 2026, matching the 84–85 °F bin that now carries full market-implied probability. This value fell well below the long-term August average high near 91 °F, consistent with 0.62 inches of measured precipitation and associated cloud cover that limited daytime heating and suppressed the typical late-summer thermal peak. National Weather Service data confirm no higher reading at the primary climate station, supporting the near-certain resolution. Only an unprecedented post-hoc adjustment to the official record or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions