Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 30 project overnight lows in the lower 80s amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light east winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets, as persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover suppress the typical seasonal drop toward 76–77°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight temperature decline given dew points near 78°F and a 50–70% chance of evening convection, though slight variations in timing of clearing or wind shifts could differentiate an 80–81°F outcome from 78–79°F. Historical August minima average near 77°F, yet current atmospheric conditions elevate the market-implied odds for the warmer bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月30日邁阿密的最低溫度？
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 5%
華氏73度或以下 2%
82-83°F <1%
$4,187 交易量
$4,187 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏73度或以下
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或更高
<1%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 5%
華氏73度或以下 2%
82-83°F <1%
$4,187 交易量
$4,187 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏73度或以下
$137 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$353 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
25%
78-79°F
$66 交易量
37%
80-81°F
$286 交易量
37%
82-83°F
$1,266 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,171 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$329 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$193 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$203 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或更高
$183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 30 project overnight lows in the lower 80s amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light east winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets, as persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover suppress the typical seasonal drop toward 76–77°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight temperature decline given dew points near 78°F and a 50–70% chance of evening convection, though slight variations in timing of clearing or wind shifts could differentiate an 80–81°F outcome from 78–79°F. Historical August minima average near 77°F, yet current atmospheric conditions elevate the market-implied odds for the warmer bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,187結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 30 project overnight lows in the lower 80s amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light east winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets, as persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover suppress the typical seasonal drop toward 76–77°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight temperature decline given dew points near 78°F and a 50–70% chance of evening convection, though slight variations in timing of clearing or wind shifts could differentiate an 80–81°F outcome from 78–79°F. Historical August minima average near 77°F, yet current atmospheric conditions elevate the market-implied odds for the warmer bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,187結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 30 project overnight lows in the lower 80s amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light east winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets, as persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover suppress the typical seasonal drop toward 76–77°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight temperature decline given dew points near 78°F and a 50–70% chance of evening convection, though slight variations in timing of clearing or wind shifts could differentiate an 80–81°F outcome from 78–79°F. Historical August minima average near 77°F, yet current atmospheric conditions elevate the market-implied odds for the warmer bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions