**Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover have positioned 23°C as the dominant market outcome for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on August 30, 2026.** Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and models such as those referenced by Yr.no and international services consistently project an overnight low near 23°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with daytime highs recovering to 31–34°C. The prior day’s widespread rain (maxima below 30°C across much of the region, with some spots as cool as 23.1°C) introduced cooler, moister air and reduced radiative cooling overnight, limiting the potential for temperatures to drop further. Steering patterns and residual moisture from the summer monsoon circulation are keeping conditions stable, while the absence of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevents significant further cooling. Higher outcomes (25°C+) carry negligible implied probability because clearing is not expected until after the minimum is reached, and lower readings (22°C or below) would require stronger radiational cooling or drier air that current guidance does not support. Traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast around the 23°C threshold, consistent with historical late-August minima when post-rain stabilization occurs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日重慶最低氣溫？
8月30日重慶最低氣溫？
23°C 95%
22°C 6%
21°C 3%
19°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
74%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 95%
22°C 6%
21°C 3%
19°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
19°C or below
$61 交易量
1%
20°C
$57 交易量
<1%
21°C
$90 交易量
3%
22°C
$43 交易量
6%
23°C
$349 交易量
74%
24°C
$60 交易量
<1%
25°C
$20 交易量
1%
26°C
$20 交易量
<1%
27°C
$30 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,025 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover have positioned 23°C as the dominant market outcome for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on August 30, 2026.**
Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and models such as those referenced by Yr.no and international services consistently project an overnight low near 23°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with daytime highs recovering to 31–34°C. The prior day’s widespread rain (maxima below 30°C across much of the region, with some spots as cool as 23.1°C) introduced cooler, moister air and reduced radiative cooling overnight, limiting the potential for temperatures to drop further.
Steering patterns and residual moisture from the summer monsoon circulation are keeping conditions stable, while the absence of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevents significant further cooling. Higher outcomes (25°C+) carry negligible implied probability because clearing is not expected until after the minimum is reached, and lower readings (22°C or below) would require stronger radiational cooling or drier air that current guidance does not support.
Traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast around the 23°C threshold, consistent with historical late-August minima when post-rain stabilization occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,786結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover have positioned 23°C as the dominant market outcome for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on August 30, 2026.**
Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and models such as those referenced by Yr.no and international services consistently project an overnight low near 23°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with daytime highs recovering to 31–34°C. The prior day’s widespread rain (maxima below 30°C across much of the region, with some spots as cool as 23.1°C) introduced cooler, moister air and reduced radiative cooling overnight, limiting the potential for temperatures to drop further.
Steering patterns and residual moisture from the summer monsoon circulation are keeping conditions stable, while the absence of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevents significant further cooling. Higher outcomes (25°C+) carry negligible implied probability because clearing is not expected until after the minimum is reached, and lower readings (22°C or below) would require stronger radiational cooling or drier air that current guidance does not support.
Traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast around the 23°C threshold, consistent with historical late-August minima when post-rain stabilization occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,786結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover have positioned 23°C as the dominant market outcome for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on August 30, 2026.** Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and models such as those referenced by Yr.no and international services consistently project an overnight low near 23°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with daytime highs recovering to 31–34°C. The prior day’s widespread rain (maxima below 30°C across much of the region, with some spots as cool as 23.1°C) introduced cooler, moister air and reduced radiative cooling overnight, limiting the potential for temperatures to drop further. Steering patterns and residual moisture from the summer monsoon circulation are keeping conditions stable, while the absence of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevents significant further cooling. Higher outcomes (25°C+) carry negligible implied probability because clearing is not expected until after the minimum is reached, and lower readings (22°C or below) would require stronger radiational cooling or drier air that current guidance does not support. Traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast around the 23°C threshold, consistent with historical late-August minima when post-rain stabilization occurs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions