Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny day in Toronto on August 18 with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical southerly flow and limited cloud cover, support modest warming above the 26°C August climatological average without triggering stronger heat advection or thunderstorm development that could elevate readings. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with minimal spread toward 28°C or cooler outcomes, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated observations and next forecast cycles will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日多倫多氣溫最高?
27°C 62%
28°C 26%
26°C 8%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
62%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62%
28°C 26%
26°C 8%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
62%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny day in Toronto on August 18 with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical southerly flow and limited cloud cover, support modest warming above the 26°C August climatological average without triggering stronger heat advection or thunderstorm development that could elevate readings. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with minimal spread toward 28°C or cooler outcomes, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated observations and next forecast cycles will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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