Recent National Environment Agency guidance and extended forecasts indicate daily maximum temperatures in Singapore will most often reach 33–34°C through mid-to-late August amid drier-than-normal conditions and developing El Niño influences that favor above-average warmth. Historical August averages near 31°C, combined with recent observed highs of 33–34°C and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected over the next few days, position 33°C as the leading outcome under current model consensus. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for brief intensification against the stabilizing effect of typical equatorial humidity and sea breezes, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher modest while downweighting cooler thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts ahead of August 21 will serve as the key catalyst for any shifts in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月21日的最高溫度?
33°C 59%
32°C 29%
34°C 9%
31°C 4.0%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
29%
33°C
59%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 29%
34°C 9%
31°C 4.0%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
29%
33°C
59%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Environment Agency guidance and extended forecasts indicate daily maximum temperatures in Singapore will most often reach 33–34°C through mid-to-late August amid drier-than-normal conditions and developing El Niño influences that favor above-average warmth. Historical August averages near 31°C, combined with recent observed highs of 33–34°C and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected over the next few days, position 33°C as the leading outcome under current model consensus. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for brief intensification against the stabilizing effect of typical equatorial humidity and sea breezes, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher modest while downweighting cooler thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts ahead of August 21 will serve as the key catalyst for any shifts in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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