Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 21 project a daytime maximum near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market's emphasis on 28–29°C outcomes. These values sit slightly below the late-August climatological average high of 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer steering patterns, elevated humidity, and modest cooling from expected rainfall. Earlier August heatwave conditions that pushed readings above 35°C have eased, with recent model consensus indicating stable maritime air influence that limits further intensification. Traders appear to weigh the official 29°C guidance most heavily while assigning lower probability to drier, warmer scenarios that could reach 30°C or above.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
26%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
26%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 21 project a daytime maximum near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market's emphasis on 28–29°C outcomes. These values sit slightly below the late-August climatological average high of 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer steering patterns, elevated humidity, and modest cooling from expected rainfall. Earlier August heatwave conditions that pushed readings above 35°C have eased, with recent model consensus indicating stable maritime air influence that limits further intensification. Traders appear to weigh the official 29°C guidance most heavily while assigning lower probability to drier, warmer scenarios that could reach 30°C or above.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions