A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日聖保羅的最高溫度？
9月6日聖保羅的最高溫度？
16°C 35%
17°C 29%
15°C 15%
18°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
13°C或以下
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
35%
17°C
29%
18°C
15%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
16°C 35%
17°C 29%
15°C 15%
18°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
13°C或以下
$365 交易量
4%
14°C
$109 交易量
5%
15°C
$641 交易量
15%
16°C
$356 交易量
35%
17°C
$170 交易量
29%
18°C
$311 交易量
15%
19°C
$95 交易量
4%
20°C
$64 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,113結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,113結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETA cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 6 maximum, with official guidance from INMET and ensemble models favoring a high near 16 °C. Southerly flow is advecting cooler polar air while widespread cloud cover and periods of rain limit daytime insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of the frontal passage, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–18 °C; lighter or later precipitation could allow brief warming toward 18 °C, whereas stronger onshore flow would cap readings closer to 15 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will be the next key input for resolving the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions