Latest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月6日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 64%
23°C 17%
21°C 16%
24°C 4%
最新
$31,648 交易量
最新
$31,648 交易量
2026-09-06
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
64%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
22°C 64%
23°C 17%
21°C 16%
24°C 4%
最新
$31,648 交易量
最新
$31,648 交易量
2026-09-06
16°C或以下
$145 交易量
<1%
17°C
$382 交易量
<1%
18°C
$26,704 交易量
<1%
19°C
$334 交易量
1%
20°C
$475 交易量
3%
21°C
$912 交易量
16%
22°C
$938 交易量
64%
23°C
$950 交易量
17%
24°C
$276 交易量
4%
25°C
$150 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$382 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$31,648結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,648結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. High pressure promoting subsidence, combined with modest warm advection from the south, supports this range, which sits slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 20.2 °C. Model runs show minimal spread, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 22 °C, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key near-term catalyst before final readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions