**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C. Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日東京氣溫最高？
9月5日東京氣溫最高？
25°C 95.3%
26°C 4.6%
27°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$87,042 交易量
$87,042 交易量
2026-09-05
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
95%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 95.3%
26°C 4.6%
27°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$87,042 交易量
$87,042 交易量
2026-09-05
21°C或以下
$1,998 交易量
<1%
22°C
$10,332 交易量
<1%
23°C
$14,480 交易量
<1%
24°C
$13,341 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,294 交易量
95%
26°C
$8,042 交易量
5%
27°C
$6,307 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,185 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,135 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,118 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$17,908 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.**
Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C.
Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$87,042結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.**
Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C.
Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$87,042結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C. Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions