**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models align on a daytime maximum of 29°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds.** This positioning reflects observed afternoon readings near 28–29°C and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress radiative heating. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–27°C, making today’s conditions slightly above normal but consistent with the stable high-pressure pattern. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 29°C captures this tight consensus, though a late-day surge in marine influence or unexpected convective development could still shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening observations finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
$57,680 交易量
$57,680 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
$57,680 交易量
$57,680 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models align on a daytime maximum of 29°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds.** This positioning reflects observed afternoon readings near 28–29°C and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress radiative heating. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–27°C, making today’s conditions slightly above normal but consistent with the stable high-pressure pattern. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 29°C captures this tight consensus, though a late-day surge in marine influence or unexpected convective development could still shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening observations finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions