**Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and official guidance points to a daytime maximum of 18–20 °C in Amsterdam on 5 September 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (53 %) and 20 °C (37 %).** Westerly winds of 15–18 mph (roughly 24–29 km/h) advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea while increasing cloud cover limits surface heating; current observations show morning temperatures climbing only into the mid-teens Celsius under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the long-term average high of ~20 °C for the date but fall short of warmer southerly-flow scenarios that would push readings into the low 20s. With the peak expected in the early afternoon and no significant model spread apparent in latest runs, trader sentiment remains anchored to the narrow 19–20 °C range pending final hourly observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月5日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 53%
20°C 38%
18°C 9%
21°C 5%
$47,087 交易量
$47,087 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
9%
19°C
53%
20°C
38%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
19°C 53%
20°C 38%
18°C 9%
21°C 5%
$47,087 交易量
$47,087 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
$381 交易量
<1%
16°C
$491 交易量
<1%
17°C
$16,324 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,727 交易量
9%
19°C
$8,090 交易量
53%
20°C
$8,892 交易量
38%
21°C
$3,673 交易量
5%
22°C
$2,410 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,563 交易量
<1%
24°C
$316 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and official guidance points to a daytime maximum of 18–20 °C in Amsterdam on 5 September 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (53 %) and 20 °C (37 %).** Westerly winds of 15–18 mph (roughly 24–29 km/h) advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea while increasing cloud cover limits surface heating; current observations show morning temperatures climbing only into the mid-teens Celsius under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the long-term average high of ~20 °C for the date but fall short of warmer southerly-flow scenarios that would push readings into the low 20s. With the peak expected in the early afternoon and no significant model spread apparent in latest runs, trader sentiment remains anchored to the narrow 19–20 °C range pending final hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$47,087結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and official guidance points to a daytime maximum of 18–20 °C in Amsterdam on 5 September 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (53 %) and 20 °C (37 %).** Westerly winds of 15–18 mph (roughly 24–29 km/h) advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea while increasing cloud cover limits surface heating; current observations show morning temperatures climbing only into the mid-teens Celsius under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the long-term average high of ~20 °C for the date but fall short of warmer southerly-flow scenarios that would push readings into the low 20s. With the peak expected in the early afternoon and no significant model spread apparent in latest runs, trader sentiment remains anchored to the narrow 19–20 °C range pending final hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,087結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and official guidance points to a daytime maximum of 18–20 °C in Amsterdam on 5 September 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (53 %) and 20 °C (37 %).** Westerly winds of 15–18 mph (roughly 24–29 km/h) advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea while increasing cloud cover limits surface heating; current observations show morning temperatures climbing only into the mid-teens Celsius under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the long-term average high of ~20 °C for the date but fall short of warmer southerly-flow scenarios that would push readings into the low 20s. With the peak expected in the early afternoon and no significant model spread apparent in latest runs, trader sentiment remains anchored to the narrow 19–20 °C range pending final hourly observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions