Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月6日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
24°C 52%
25°C 24%
23°C 13%
22°C 4%
最新
$28,642 交易量
最新
$28,642 交易量
2026-09-06
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
52%
25°C
24%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
2%
24°C 52%
25°C 24%
23°C 13%
22°C 4%
最新
$28,642 交易量
最新
$28,642 交易量
2026-09-06
18°C或以下
$375 交易量
<1%
19°C
$25,362 交易量
<1%
20°C
$280 交易量
1%
21°C
$90 交易量
2%
22°C
$440 交易量
4%
23°C
$689 交易量
13%
24°C
$851 交易量
52%
25°C
$522 交易量
24%
26°C
$17 交易量
4%
27°C
$11 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,642結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,642結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions