Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
32°C 95%
33°C 5%
34°C或以上 1.1%
24°C或以下 <1%
$50,018 交易量
$50,018 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
1%
32°C 95%
33°C 5%
34°C或以上 1.1%
24°C或以下 <1%
$50,018 交易量
$50,018 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions