Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs show a post-heatwave cooldown over northern France, with high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures stabilizing near 25–27°C in Paris on August 7. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (55.5%) and 26°C (20.5%), reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 26°C August climatological average while accounting for possible model spread or minor warm advection. Recent cooler northerly flow after July’s extreme episodes has lowered extremes, though ensemble uncertainty remains around afternoon mixing and any residual instability. Updated guidance from official agencies tomorrow morning will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日巴黎最高溫度？
8月7日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 56%
26°C 21%
28°C 17%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
21%
27°C
56%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
26°C 21%
28°C 17%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
$576 交易量
<1%
24°C
$325 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,161 交易量
5%
26°C
$1,028 交易量
21%
27°C
$2,338 交易量
56%
28°C
$798 交易量
17%
29°C
$250 交易量
4%
30°C
$849 交易量
2%
31°C
$558 交易量
1%
32°C
$166 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$315 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs show a post-heatwave cooldown over northern France, with high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures stabilizing near 25–27°C in Paris on August 7. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (55.5%) and 26°C (20.5%), reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 26°C August climatological average while accounting for possible model spread or minor warm advection. Recent cooler northerly flow after July’s extreme episodes has lowered extremes, though ensemble uncertainty remains around afternoon mixing and any residual instability. Updated guidance from official agencies tomorrow morning will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,364結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs show a post-heatwave cooldown over northern France, with high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures stabilizing near 25–27°C in Paris on August 7. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (55.5%) and 26°C (20.5%), reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 26°C August climatological average while accounting for possible model spread or minor warm advection. Recent cooler northerly flow after July’s extreme episodes has lowered extremes, though ensemble uncertainty remains around afternoon mixing and any residual instability. Updated guidance from official agencies tomorrow morning will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,364結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs show a post-heatwave cooldown over northern France, with high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures stabilizing near 25–27°C in Paris on August 7. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (55.5%) and 26°C (20.5%), reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 26°C August climatological average while accounting for possible model spread or minor warm advection. Recent cooler northerly flow after July’s extreme episodes has lowered extremes, though ensemble uncertainty remains around afternoon mixing and any residual instability. Updated guidance from official agencies tomorrow morning will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions