Latest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models project a peak daytime high of 32–34°C in Panama City on August 9, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 46.5% market-implied odds. In Panama’s tropical wet season, high humidity and variable cloud cover associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon maxima near long-term August averages of 30–32°C, while brief clear spells or reduced rainfall can allow brief spikes to 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with steering patterns favoring moderate onshore flow that suppresses extreme heat but permits the narrow 32–34°C cluster to dominate trader consensus. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
8月9日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
28%
33°C
46%
34°C
19%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
28°C
$34 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$32 交易量
2%
31°C
$191 交易量
6%
32°C
$102 交易量
28%
33°C
$191 交易量
46%
34°C
$390 交易量
19%
35°C
$102 交易量
3%
36°C
$48 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$91 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models project a peak daytime high of 32–34°C in Panama City on August 9, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 46.5% market-implied odds. In Panama’s tropical wet season, high humidity and variable cloud cover associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon maxima near long-term August averages of 30–32°C, while brief clear spells or reduced rainfall can allow brief spikes to 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with steering patterns favoring moderate onshore flow that suppresses extreme heat but permits the narrow 32–34°C cluster to dominate trader consensus. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,205結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models project a peak daytime high of 32–34°C in Panama City on August 9, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 46.5% market-implied odds. In Panama’s tropical wet season, high humidity and variable cloud cover associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon maxima near long-term August averages of 30–32°C, while brief clear spells or reduced rainfall can allow brief spikes to 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with steering patterns favoring moderate onshore flow that suppresses extreme heat but permits the narrow 32–34°C cluster to dominate trader consensus. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,205結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models project a peak daytime high of 32–34°C in Panama City on August 9, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 46.5% market-implied odds. In Panama’s tropical wet season, high humidity and variable cloud cover associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon maxima near long-term August averages of 30–32°C, while brief clear spells or reduced rainfall can allow brief spikes to 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with steering patterns favoring moderate onshore flow that suppresses extreme heat but permits the narrow 32–34°C cluster to dominate trader consensus. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions