Ensemble forecast models place Panama City's August 14 maximum near seasonal norms of 30–32 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 32–33 °C because of modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective rainfall timing during the wet season. High humidity and the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustain elevated baseline temperatures, yet scattered showers can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C depending on onset. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies shows limited spread across runs, keeping 34 °C or higher at lower probability while outcomes below 31 °C remain unlikely absent atypical subsidence. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of regional moisture will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
8月14日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
33°C 38%
32°C 28%
34°C 17%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
28%
33°C
38%
34°C
17%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 38%
32°C 28%
34°C 17%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
27°C或以下
$146 交易量
<1%
28°C
$79 交易量
<1%
29°C
$296 交易量
1%
30°C
$56 交易量
4%
31°C
$178 交易量
11%
32°C
$79 交易量
28%
33°C
$177 交易量
38%
34°C
$236 交易量
17%
35°C
$20 交易量
3%
36°C
$91 交易量
2%
37°C或以上
$19 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models place Panama City's August 14 maximum near seasonal norms of 30–32 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 32–33 °C because of modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective rainfall timing during the wet season. High humidity and the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustain elevated baseline temperatures, yet scattered showers can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C depending on onset. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies shows limited spread across runs, keeping 34 °C or higher at lower probability while outcomes below 31 °C remain unlikely absent atypical subsidence. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of regional moisture will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,376結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models place Panama City's August 14 maximum near seasonal norms of 30–32 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 32–33 °C because of modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective rainfall timing during the wet season. High humidity and the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustain elevated baseline temperatures, yet scattered showers can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C depending on onset. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies shows limited spread across runs, keeping 34 °C or higher at lower probability while outcomes below 31 °C remain unlikely absent atypical subsidence. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of regional moisture will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,376結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:57 PM ETEnsemble forecast models place Panama City's August 14 maximum near seasonal norms of 30–32 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 32–33 °C because of modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective rainfall timing during the wet season. High humidity and the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustain elevated baseline temperatures, yet scattered showers can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C depending on onset. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies shows limited spread across runs, keeping 34 °C or higher at lower probability while outcomes below 31 °C remain unlikely absent atypical subsidence. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of regional moisture will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions