Forecast models from sources including the GFS and local agencies point to a high of 74–76°F in New York City on September 6, 2026, under northeasterly flow that advects cooler, drier air behind a frontal passage. This setup favors modest daytime heating, with partly to mostly sunny skies and only isolated light drizzle possible in some guidance, keeping maximum temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F. Recent runs show tight clustering around the mid-70s, with minor spread arising from exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders have concentrated probability on the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins, reflecting the narrow range of official guidance and the proximity to resolution on the following day. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and afternoon model cycles will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月6日的最高溫度?
76-77華氏度 55%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 5%
華氏65度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
28%
76-77華氏度
55%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
華氏84度或以上
<1%
76-77華氏度 55%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 5%
華氏65度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
28%
76-77華氏度
55%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
華氏84度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the GFS and local agencies point to a high of 74–76°F in New York City on September 6, 2026, under northeasterly flow that advects cooler, drier air behind a frontal passage. This setup favors modest daytime heating, with partly to mostly sunny skies and only isolated light drizzle possible in some guidance, keeping maximum temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F. Recent runs show tight clustering around the mid-70s, with minor spread arising from exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders have concentrated probability on the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins, reflecting the narrow range of official guidance and the proximity to resolution on the following day. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and afternoon model cycles will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions