Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月6日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
29°C 29%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
31°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
28%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
31°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
$124 交易量
2%
26°C
$21 交易量
7%
27°C
$131 交易量
5%
28°C
$4 交易量
22%
29°C
$52 交易量
29%
30°C
$106 交易量
28%
31°C
$65 交易量
15%
32°C
$22 交易量
5%
33°C
$0 交易量
1%
34°C
$0 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$21 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$545結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$545結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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