Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services point to a high of 29–32 °C in Istanbul on September 6 under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow, placing the 28–30 °C outcomes at the center of trader pricing. Recent observations show daytime maxima near 30 °C, slightly above the long-term September average of 26 °C, while ensemble guidance indicates modest spread from variations in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing. Clear conditions and low humidity support efficient daytime heating, yet any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze could cap readings near 28 °C. Final official station data from the Turkish meteorological service will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
35%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
35%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services point to a high of 29–32 °C in Istanbul on September 6 under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow, placing the 28–30 °C outcomes at the center of trader pricing. Recent observations show daytime maxima near 30 °C, slightly above the long-term September average of 26 °C, while ensemble guidance indicates modest spread from variations in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing. Clear conditions and low humidity support efficient daytime heating, yet any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze could cap readings near 28 °C. Final official station data from the Turkish meteorological service will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions