Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日深圳最低溫度？
9月7日深圳最低溫度？
22°C或以下 60%
32°C或以上 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
60%
23°C
12%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
33%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
20%
31°C
2%
32°C或以上
59%
22°C或以下 60%
32°C或以上 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
$5 交易量
60%
23°C
$25 交易量
12%
24°C
$0 交易量
49%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
20%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$30結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions