Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日釜山最低溫度？
9月7日釜山最低溫度？
18°C或以下 100%
28°C或以上 59%
19°C 49%
24°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
49%
20°C
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
21%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C或以上
59%
18°C或以下 100%
28°C或以上 59%
19°C 49%
24°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
19°C
$0 交易量
49%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
25%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$34 交易量
32%
25°C
$36 交易量
21%
26°C
$0 交易量
20%
27°C
$0 交易量
19%
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$70結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions