Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds off the ocean that limit overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus splits between 19°C or below (46.5%) and 23°C (44.5%) because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model resolution of the marine layer can shift the low by 2–4°C. Clearer conditions would enhance heat loss and favor cooler outcomes, while stronger winds or increased cloudiness would hold temperatures closer to 23–25°C. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor the higher end of the range, with the next model updates and overnight observations likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日釜山的最低溫度?
19°C或以下 92%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
19°C或以下
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
44%
24°C
27%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C或以上
43%
19°C或以下 92%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
19°C或以下
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
44%
24°C
27%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C或以上
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds off the ocean that limit overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus splits between 19°C or below (46.5%) and 23°C (44.5%) because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model resolution of the marine layer can shift the low by 2–4°C. Clearer conditions would enhance heat loss and favor cooler outcomes, while stronger winds or increased cloudiness would hold temperatures closer to 23–25°C. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor the higher end of the range, with the next model updates and overnight observations likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions