Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles position a daily maximum near 20°C for Helsinki on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above late-August norms. Baltic Sea moderation and declining solar insolation keep values tightly clustered between 19–21°C, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or radiative cooling that would shift the outcome lower. This narrow model spread and historical climatology—average highs of 19–20°C—drive the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C, while residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface feedbacks sustains smaller probabilities for 19°C or 21°C ahead of official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
20°C 62%
19°C 22%
21°C 19%
18°C 2%
$12,688 交易量
$12,688 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
22%
20°C
62%
21°C
19%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 62%
19°C 22%
21°C 19%
18°C 2%
$12,688 交易量
$12,688 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
22%
20°C
62%
21°C
19%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles position a daily maximum near 20°C for Helsinki on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above late-August norms. Baltic Sea moderation and declining solar insolation keep values tightly clustered between 19–21°C, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or radiative cooling that would shift the outcome lower. This narrow model spread and historical climatology—average highs of 19–20°C—drive the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C, while residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface feedbacks sustains smaller probabilities for 19°C or 21°C ahead of official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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