Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日芝加哥的最高溫度？
8月7日芝加哥的最高溫度？
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
華氏75度或以下
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
華氏94度或更高
<1%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
華氏75度或以下
$198 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$393 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$86 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$86 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$180 交易量
10%
84-85°F
$115 交易量
32%
86-87°F
$373 交易量
37%
88-89°F
$64 交易量
17%
90-91°F
$120 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$52 交易量
1%
華氏94度或更高
$80 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,630結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,630結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions