Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and supporting model guidance indicate a maximum of 31–32°C for Ankara on September 6 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure. These conditions favor modest daytime heating consistent with late-summer norms for the region, where recent days have seen highs near 30–32°C. Ensemble spread and minor differences in timing of peak insolation create the tight clustering around these two outcomes, while the low probabilities assigned to 33°C or lower values reflect limited upside from additional warming or downside from unexpected cloud cover. Updated model runs and official bulletins tomorrow morning will provide the final observational context ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日安卡拉的最高溫度?
32°C 57%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$10,665 交易量
$10,665 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
57%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$10,665 交易量
$10,665 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
57%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and supporting model guidance indicate a maximum of 31–32°C for Ankara on September 6 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure. These conditions favor modest daytime heating consistent with late-summer norms for the region, where recent days have seen highs near 30–32°C. Ensemble spread and minor differences in timing of peak insolation create the tight clustering around these two outcomes, while the low probabilities assigned to 33°C or lower values reflect limited upside from additional warming or downside from unexpected cloud cover. Updated model runs and official bulletins tomorrow morning will provide the final observational context ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions