Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月6日安卡拉最低溫度？
20°C或以上 91%
14°C 50%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
-
11°C
23%
12°C
24%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
24%
17°C
45%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C或以上
91%
20°C或以上 91%
14°C 50%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
$4 交易量
-
11°C
$8 交易量
23%
12°C
$0 交易量
24%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$6 交易量
36%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
24%
17°C
$0 交易量
45%
18°C
$0 交易量
47%
19°C
$0 交易量
47%
20°C或以上
$0 交易量
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions