Florida's 24th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward areas that delivered large margins in prior cycles. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Oliver Gilbert III, who prevailed in a crowded field and now faces Republican Te Brown in the November general election. The district’s structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican organization or recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus around a decisive Democratic outcome. Potential disruptions remain narrow and would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue for the nominee, or extraordinary turnout anomaly within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,817 交易量
$26,817 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
97%
共和黨
1%
$26,817 交易量
$26,817 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$11,979 交易量
97%
共和黨
$14,838 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward areas that delivered large margins in prior cycles. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Oliver Gilbert III, who prevailed in a crowded field and now faces Republican Te Brown in the November general election. The district’s structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican organization or recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus around a decisive Democratic outcome. Potential disruptions remain narrow and would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue for the nominee, or extraordinary turnout anomaly within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,817結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward areas that delivered large margins in prior cycles. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Oliver Gilbert III, who prevailed in a crowded field and now faces Republican Te Brown in the November general election. The district’s structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican organization or recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus around a decisive Democratic outcome. Potential disruptions remain narrow and would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue for the nominee, or extraordinary turnout anomaly within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,817結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward areas that delivered large margins in prior cycles. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Oliver Gilbert III, who prevailed in a crowded field and now faces Republican Te Brown in the November general election. The district’s structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican organization or recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus around a decisive Democratic outcome. Potential disruptions remain narrow and would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue for the nominee, or extraordinary turnout anomaly within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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