Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. With longtime Representative Frederica Wilson retiring, the August 18 Democratic primary outcome selecting Oliver Gilbert III as nominee has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Te Brown as the nominee in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Market pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic makeup favoring Democrats. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant turnout shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,817 交易量
$26,817 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
97%
共和黨
1%
$26,817 交易量
$26,817 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$11,979 交易量
97%
共和黨
$14,838 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. With longtime Representative Frederica Wilson retiring, the August 18 Democratic primary outcome selecting Oliver Gilbert III as nominee has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Te Brown as the nominee in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Market pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic makeup favoring Democrats. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant turnout shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,817結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. With longtime Representative Frederica Wilson retiring, the August 18 Democratic primary outcome selecting Oliver Gilbert III as nominee has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Te Brown as the nominee in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Market pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic makeup favoring Democrats. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant turnout shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,817結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. With longtime Representative Frederica Wilson retiring, the August 18 Democratic primary outcome selecting Oliver Gilbert III as nominee has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving Te Brown as the nominee in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Market pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic makeup favoring Democrats. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant turnout shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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