The newly redrawn Florida 25th congressional district, which runs along the southeast coast, carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indices and has drawn an incumbent Democrat, Jared Moskowitz, into the race after the map changes. This structural shift, combined with the 2026 midterm environment in which the president’s party has historically lost House seats, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory. Both parties are holding primaries on August 18, with Moskowitz positioned against challenger Oliver Larkin on the Democratic side and a multi-candidate Republican field led by Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer. Fundraising and early-ballot data have reinforced Moskowitz’s primary lead, while the district’s composition continues to limit Republican general-election prospects absent major shifts before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,139 交易量
$22,139 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
75%
共和黨
24%
$22,139 交易量
$22,139 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$6,624 交易量
75%
共和黨
$15,520 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Florida 25th congressional district, which runs along the southeast coast, carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indices and has drawn an incumbent Democrat, Jared Moskowitz, into the race after the map changes. This structural shift, combined with the 2026 midterm environment in which the president’s party has historically lost House seats, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory. Both parties are holding primaries on August 18, with Moskowitz positioned against challenger Oliver Larkin on the Democratic side and a multi-candidate Republican field led by Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer. Fundraising and early-ballot data have reinforced Moskowitz’s primary lead, while the district’s composition continues to limit Republican general-election prospects absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$22,139結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Florida 25th congressional district, which runs along the southeast coast, carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indices and has drawn an incumbent Democrat, Jared Moskowitz, into the race after the map changes. This structural shift, combined with the 2026 midterm environment in which the president’s party has historically lost House seats, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory. Both parties are holding primaries on August 18, with Moskowitz positioned against challenger Oliver Larkin on the Democratic side and a multi-candidate Republican field led by Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer. Fundraising and early-ballot data have reinforced Moskowitz’s primary lead, while the district’s composition continues to limit Republican general-election prospects absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,139結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly redrawn Florida 25th congressional district, which runs along the southeast coast, carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indices and has drawn an incumbent Democrat, Jared Moskowitz, into the race after the map changes. This structural shift, combined with the 2026 midterm environment in which the president’s party has historically lost House seats, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory. Both parties are holding primaries on August 18, with Moskowitz positioned against challenger Oliver Larkin on the Democratic side and a multi-candidate Republican field led by Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer. Fundraising and early-ballot data have reinforced Moskowitz’s primary lead, while the district’s composition continues to limit Republican general-election prospects absent major shifts before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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